The Intelligence

Frameworks, analysis, and sovereign intelligence on African macroeconomics, capital markets, and the political economy of development.

Macro Unsights

Three Macro Risks Converging on African Markets This Week (Week 19, 2026)

African markets face a critical week as South Africa’s diplomatic crisis, China’s tariff-free trade shift, and OPEC+ output increase converge, reshaping risk, trade, and…

6 May 2026 Read →
Policy & Political Economy

Lord Fiifi Quayle Donates “Pricing Uncertainty” to NDC Library

Lord Fiifi Quayle donates Pricing Uncertainty to the National Democratic Congress library, advancing risk-based policy thinking in Ghana.

5 May 2026 Read →
Cedi Appreciation

Ghana Is Africa’s Recovery Story of 2026

Ghana’s cedi posts its first annual gain since 1994, GDP growth hits 5.5%, and debt restructuring nears completion. Here’s why Ghana is Africa’s cleanest…

5 May 2026 Read →
Climate Risk

GHANA’S RAINFOREST COLLAPSE IS A GLOBAL CLIMATE WARNING SIGNAL

Ghana’s rainforest is undergoing structural collapse, shifting from a carbon sink to a carbon source. This breakdown is driving water stress, agricultural risk, and…

4 May 2026 Read →
Macro Insights

AFRICA MACRO INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Africa’s macro story has fractured into four distinct economic paths, ending the era of uniform stress. Growth is recovering unevenly across frontier, anchor, oil-linked…

4 May 2026 Read →
Africa Risk Index

Africa Risk Index Methodology-How Sovereign Risk Is Measured in Africa

A technical breakdown of the Africa Risk Index methodology, explaining how economic stress, political conditions, and market dynamics are combined to measure sovereign risk…

2 May 2026 Read →
Governance

KENYA IS THE MARKET TO WATCH IN Q2 2026

Kenya is shaping up as the key sovereign credit story in East Africa for Q2 2026. With large Eurobond maturities approaching, rising refinancing costs,…

1 May 2026 Read →
Africa Risk Index

The Africa Risk Index Explained

A structured approach to tracking risk across African markets The Africa Risk Index was developed to address a simple problem: the absence of a…

1 May 2026 Read →
Macro Intelligence

What Drives Sovereign Risk in Africa

The underlying forces behind instability, resilience, and market reactions Sovereign risk is often reduced to a single question: will a government meet its obligations?…

1 May 2026 Read →
Africa’s Risk

Understanding Africa’s Risk Landscape

Why risk in Africa is misunderstood and how to read it properly Africa’s risk landscape is often described in extremes either as a continent…

1 May 2026 Read →
Africa Risk Index

Africa Risk Index Hits 71 | Weekly Sovereign Risk Update

Africa Risk Index rises to 71. See what’s driving elevated sovereign and FX risk across key African markets.

30 Apr 2026 Read →
African Macroeconomics

April 24th Africa Macro Intelligence

    Lord Fiifi Quayle · Africa Macro Intelligence terminal.lordfiifiquayle.comWeekly Sovereign & Markets Brief ·  28 April 2026 Africa Is NotWaiting Anymore The global…

28 Apr 2026 Read →
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