The Intelligence

Frameworks, analysis, and sovereign intelligence on African macroeconomics, capital markets, and the political economy of development.

Macro Intelligence

WEEK 20 — AFRICA MACRO INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

Week 20 Africa Macro Intelligence Brief examining sovereign risk, commodity repricing, FX pressures, political economy dynamics, and frontier market liquidity across Ghana, Nigeria, South…

11 May 2026 Read →
Macro Intelligence

Ghana’s Fitch Upgrade Signals a Sovereign Narrative Shift, Not Just a Ratings Event

Ghana’s upgrade by Fitch Ratings from B- to B marks more than a credit ratings improvement, it signals a broader restoration of sovereign credibility,…

9 May 2026 Read →
Macro Intelligence

Africa’s Divergence Story in 2026: Why the Continent Is No Longer One Trade

Africa's 2026 macro story is not a single trade, it is a widening divergence between industrial transformation in Nigeria, sovereign stress in Angola, and…

8 May 2026 Read →
Macro Intelligence

What Drives Sovereign Risk in Africa

The underlying forces behind instability, resilience, and market reactions Sovereign risk is often reduced to a single question: will a government meet its obligations?…

1 May 2026 Read →
Macro Intelligence

Africa’s Credit Cycle Is Turning-FX, Liquidity and Sovereign Risk Signals

African sovereign credit is turning as FX pressure and liquidity tighten. Real-time signals reveal where markets are mispricing risk across frontier economies.

24 Apr 2026 Read →

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